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Red1
14250.5
31451.2
29900.3
Blue4
29220.7
15402.0
31921.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23046810121414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3145
#10
1.20.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2.00.1
1.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1425
#36
0.50.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1.20.1
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2990
#54
0.30.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2922
#44
0.70.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End