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Red1
15710.5
26350.4
21920.8
Blue2
30240.5
19831.9
15101.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12046812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2192
#46
0.80.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1983
#13
1.90.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1571
#56
0.50.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1510
#12
1.30.0
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2635
#47
0.40.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3024
#22
0.50.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End