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Red0
25211.0
24711.6
26350.4
Blue2
33110.8
28651.2
25571.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201345602

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#17
1.60.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2865
#19
1.20.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2521
#25
1.00.2
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1.20.0
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2635
#47
0.40.2
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3311
#45
0.80.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End