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Red1
9570.2
25220.9
17780.4
Blue3
21920.8
15402.0
9550.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13024681013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#43
0.90.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2.00.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1778
#61
0.40.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2192
#46
0.80.0
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
957
#33
0.20.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
955
#57
0.40.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End