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Red1
15710.5
17780.4
3681.4
Blue2
14320.6
25220.9
33110.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31024681012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#42
1.40.1
1.81.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2522
#43
0.90.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1571
#56
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3311
#45
0.80.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1778
#61
0.40.1
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1432
#41
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End