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Red5
13180.9
24110.3
8471.7
Blue4
33110.8
32231.4
21920.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
847
#3
1.70.2
1.41.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3223
#21
1.40.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1318
#40
0.90.2
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2192
#46
0.80.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2411
#38
0.30.2
0.00.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3311
#45
0.80.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End