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Red8
4231.2
27532.5
2722.6
Blue2
13911.8
27292.1
3570.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions650281012141682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#2
2.60.0
2.52.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2729
#11
2.10.0
2.22.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2.50.0
2.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1391
#32
1.80.0
1.81.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
423
#26
1.20.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
357
#13
0.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End