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Red2
4841.9
16471.9
7080.9
Blue4
27532.5
26071.0
3570.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330124567824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.90.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2.50.1
1.71.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
484
#18
1.90.1
1.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2607
#25
1.00.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
708
#30
0.90.1
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
357
#13
0.90.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End