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Qual 142010 Philadelphia Regional
Red10
11431.9
3653.0
19801.7
Blue9
31231.8
4861.8
7091.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions530246810109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#4
3.00.3
2.2→2.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.1
486
#27
1.80.3
1.6→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1143
#19
1.90.3
1.9→2.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.2
3123
#23
1.80.4
1.3→1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1980
#9
1.70.3
0.9→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.4
709
#16
1.30.3
0.8→1.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—