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Qual 192010 Philadelphia Regional
Red1
31670.9
17910.4
31231.8
Blue7
2041.3
4841.9
19801.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24068101217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3123
#23
1.80.1
1.7→1.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.1
484
#18
1.90.2
1.8→2.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3167
#31
0.90.1
0.6→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.9
1980
#9
1.70.2
1.2→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1791
#39
0.40.1
0.5→0.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.9
204
#24
1.30.2
0.9→1.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—