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Red3
16401.2
16341.0
31670.9
Blue6
4861.8
7080.9
27292.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250468101236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#17
1.20.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2729
#11
2.10.1
1.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1634
#36
1.00.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
486
#27
1.80.1
1.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3167
#31
0.90.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
708
#30
0.90.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End