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Red3
31231.8
17121.1
3040.4
Blue7
27292.1
13700.3
4332.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304681037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3123
#23
1.80.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2729
#11
2.10.2
1.61.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1712
#34
1.10.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
433
#7
2.00.2
1.41.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
304
#35
0.40.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1370
#28
0.30.3
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End