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Red3
17121.1
14950.6
13911.8
Blue7
3040.4
3413.0
8161.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25046810121437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#32
1.80.0
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
341
#1
3.00.2
2.83.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1712
#34
1.10.0
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
816
#15
1.50.1
1.31.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1495
#21
0.60.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
304
#35
0.40.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End