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Red5
1280.4
28091.7
20511.6
Blue0
3061.1
32600.2
12491.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1204681050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.70.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1249
#15
1.20.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.60.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
306
#17
1.10.2
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
128
#22
0.40.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3260
#19
0.20.2
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End