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Red7
31382.3
12792.7
26560.6
Blue2
15032.0
22520.7
2221.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6402810121472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.70.0
2.72.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2.00.0
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2.30.0
2.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
222
#11
1.70.0
1.81.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2656
#25
0.60.0
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2252
#26
0.70.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End