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Red8
1741.1
2173.9
15512.5
Blue5
6101.1
1882.2
1912.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions850101585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#4
3.90.0
3.93.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
191
#20
2.20.0
2.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2.50.0
2.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
188
#8
2.20.0
2.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
174
#22
1.10.0
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
610
#16
1.10.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End