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Red8
15111.3
31571.7
5780.4
Blue4
15072.1
2910.9
15590.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340101584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.70.1
1.51.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2.10.0
2.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.30.1
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
0.90.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
578
#21
0.40.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
291
#15
0.90.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End