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Red6
15111.3
5780.4
31571.7
Blue2
15590.9
15072.1
2910.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34010152062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.70.1
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2.10.0
2.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.30.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
578
#21
0.40.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
291
#15
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End