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Red1
15072.1
30030.9
730.2
Blue2
31731.3
5780.4
6390.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220468101212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#9Sur
2.10.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3173
#3Sur
1.30.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3003
#41
0.90.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
639
#27
0.50.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
73
#34
0.20.1
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
578
#21
0.40.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End