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Red2
15910.9
5780.4
15111.3
Blue1
22280.5
631.3
15590.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21046810121421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.30.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
63
#11
1.30.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1591
#23
0.90.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
0.90.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
578
#21
0.40.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2228
#30
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End