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Red0
31571.7
15590.9
17650.2
Blue3
1912.2
15180.4
6390.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2306810121403

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.70.2
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
191
#20
2.20.0
1.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
0.90.2
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
639
#27
0.50.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1765
#38
0.20.2
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1518
#32
0.40.0
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End