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Red5
14500.4
30441.6
20531.0
Blue0
1741.1
31810.5
30150.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11012345650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#35
1.60.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
174
#22
1.10.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2053
#13
1.00.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3015
#40
0.80.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1450
#42
0.40.3
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3181
#31
0.50.1
-0.1-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End