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Red6
30150.8
15512.5
15590.9
Blue3
31620.4
23400.3
12411.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32046863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.50.3
1.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1241
#12
1.80.1
1.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
0.90.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3162
#26
0.40.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3015
#40
0.80.3
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2340
#29
0.30.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End