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Red3
3401.4
31810.5
31731.3
Blue11
2173.9
1452.4
15590.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25046810121416311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#18
1.40.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
217
#4
3.90.5
2.42.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.30.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
145
#2
2.40.5
1.42.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3181
#31
0.50.1
-0.2-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
0.90.5
0.81.3
Auto
Teleop
End