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Red2
14500.4
22280.5
3160.5
Blue7
11261.3
15512.5
631.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14026810121427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2228
#30
0.50.0
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
2.50.2
1.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
316
#39
0.50.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1126
#19
1.30.3
1.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1450
#42
0.40.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
63
#11
1.30.3
0.91.2
Auto
Teleop
End