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Red2
17130.3
22280.5
15072.1
Blue1
30150.8
31620.4
2501.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330268101221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.10.1
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
250
#24
1.60.2
1.81.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2228
#30
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3015
#40
0.80.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1713
#43
0.30.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3162
#26
0.40.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End