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Red7
15512.5
2173.9
1741.1
Blue8
5780.4
31571.7
15111.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8305101578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#4
3.90.0
3.93.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1.70.1
1.61.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2.50.0
2.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1.30.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
174
#22
1.10.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
578
#21
0.40.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End