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Red3
31810.6
15180.1
6391.4
Blue2
31571.3
1911.3
15511.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260510152032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
Unranked
1.40.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1551
Unranked
1.80.2
2.22.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3181
Unranked
0.60.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
191
Unranked
1.30.2
1.71.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1518
Unranked
0.10.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
3157
Unranked
1.30.2
1.51.3
Auto
Teleop
End