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Red3
15511.8
2290.7
3401.1
Blue1
3791.4
1911.3
6391.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35010152031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1551
Unranked
1.80.0
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
379
Unranked
1.40.2
1.81.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
340
Unranked
1.10.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
639
Unranked
1.40.2
1.61.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
229
Unranked
0.70.0
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
191
Unranked
1.30.2
1.41.2
Auto
Teleop
End