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Red2
3791.4
1405-0.1
15113.1
Blue4
30150.8
31571.3
6391.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5302681012141624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
Unranked
3.10.1
3.12.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
639
Unranked
1.40.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
379
Unranked
1.40.1
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3157
Unranked
1.30.0
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1405
Unranked
-0.10.1
0.0-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
3015
Unranked
0.80.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End