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Red4
31810.6
15071.3
2290.7
Blue4
31731.1
17960.5
22280.6
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320468101244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
Unranked
1.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3173
Unranked
1.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
229
Unranked
0.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2228
Unranked
0.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3181
Unranked
0.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1796
Unranked
0.5
Auto
Teleop
End