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Red1
3791.4
31731.1
23400.5
Blue3
3401.1
15113.1
11260.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4601015202513

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
Unranked
1.40.1
2.22.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1511
Unranked
3.10.1
3.63.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3173
Unranked
1.10.2
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
340
Unranked
1.10.1
1.10.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2340
Unranked
0.50.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1126
Unranked
0.80.1
1.21.0
Auto
Teleop
End