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Red4
15511.8
17960.5
30150.8
Blue1
229B0.3
2290.7
31731.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42068101241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1551
Unranked
1.80.0
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3173
Unranked
1.10.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3015
Unranked
0.80.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
229
Unranked
0.70.1
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1796
Unranked
0.50.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
229B
Unranked
0.30.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End