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Red6
15113.1
5780.5
3401.1
Blue3
11260.8
23400.5
31810.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5104681012141663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
Unranked
3.10.0
3.03.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1126
Unranked
0.80.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
340
Unranked
1.10.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3181
Unranked
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
578
Unranked
0.50.0
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2340
Unranked
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End