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Red5
3401.1
5780.5
15113.1
Blue0
31810.6
11260.8
23400.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51046810121450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
Unranked
3.10.0
3.03.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1126
Unranked
0.80.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
340
Unranked
1.10.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3181
Unranked
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
578
Unranked
0.50.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2340
Unranked
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End