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Red0
26280.7
16621.3
30450.1
Blue2
13511.1
32500.5
27611.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1204681012141602

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1662
#18
1.30.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1.10.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2628
#35
0.70.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2761
#38
1.00.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3045
#37
0.10.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3250
#20
0.50.1
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End