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Red0
32500.5
21411.6
32570.9
Blue1
15160.9
6043.1
31890.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1302468101201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.60.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
604
#1
3.10.1
1.81.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3257
#16
0.90.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1516
#12
0.90.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3250
#20
0.50.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3189
#29
0.00.1
0.00.2
Auto
Teleop
End