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Red3
13511.1
21560.9
8140.5
Blue2
22040.7
21440.7
27611.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2101234567832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.10.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2761
#38
1.00.0
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2156
#22
0.90.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2204
#21
0.70.0
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
814
#28
0.50.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2144
#19
0.70.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End