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Red1
20352.1
23900.2
32500.5
Blue0
8140.5
21440.7
30450.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31024567810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.10.1
1.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2144
#19
0.70.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3250
#20
0.50.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
814
#28
0.50.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2390
#36
0.20.1
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3045
#37
0.10.1
0.1-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End