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Qual 542010 Sacramento Regional
Red0
15160.9
28920.8
30450.1
Blue4
16621.3
7510.4
8521.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1516
#12
0.90.1
0.9→0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.9
852
#8
1.80.1
1.2→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2892
#27
0.80.1
0.8→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.5
1662
#18
1.30.1
0.8→0.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3045
#37
0.10.1
0.3→0.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.3
751
#13
0.40.1
0.5→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—