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Red3
16621.3
32500.5
16781.4
Blue4
10720.9
8521.8
24731.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24068101234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#11
1.40.0
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
852
#8
1.80.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1662
#18
1.30.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2473
#10
1.60.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3250
#20
0.50.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1072
#24
0.90.0
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End