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Red2
30450.1
8521.8
16781.4
Blue0
32570.9
30130.2
14581.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201345620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
852
#8
1.80.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1458
#23
1.40.1
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1678
#11
1.40.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
3257
#16
0.90.7
0.90.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3045
#37
0.10.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3013
#32
0.20.1
0.1-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End