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Red1
8140.5
7510.4
20731.2
Blue2
26280.7
32570.9
6750.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#17
1.20.1
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3257
#16
0.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
814
#28
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
675
#30
0.80.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
751
#13
0.40.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2628
#35
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End