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Red5
13981.1
12871.4
28151.7
Blue0
3420.5
12930.4
21870.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210345650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.70.2
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2187
#13
0.80.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1287
#21
1.40.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
342
#31
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1398
#27
1.10.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1293
#22
0.40.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End