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Red4
13190.8
19150.2
27511.0
Blue6
9451.6
12251.4
33710.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions0324681046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2751
#17
1.00.2
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
945
#15
1.60.2
1.51.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1319
#30
0.80.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1.40.3
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1915
#20
0.20.2
-0.2-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3371
#16
0.50.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End