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Red3
17722.0
3371.8
10260.2
Blue3
17581.3
28151.7
5381.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302468101233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
337
#8
1.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1758
#19
1.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1026
#29
0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
538
#26
1.0
Auto
Teleop
End