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Red1
21210.5
32701.1
24300.5
Blue3
12871.4
15530.1
2811.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304681013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3270
#10
1.10.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
281
#4
1.80.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2430
#28
0.50.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1287
#21
1.40.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2121
#23
0.50.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1553
#33
0.10.0
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End