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Red1
13190.8
14360.1
12930.4
Blue4
12251.4
29741.0
5381.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130234567814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1319
#30
0.80.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1.40.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1293
#22
0.40.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1.00.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1436
#34
0.10.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
538
#26
1.00.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End