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Red0
33710.5
15530.1
19150.2
Blue1
5381.0
19590.7
11021.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301234567801

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3371
#16
0.50.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1102
#18
1.20.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1915
#20
0.20.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
538
#26
1.00.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1553
#33
0.10.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1959
#14
0.70.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End