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Red5
13791.5
28151.7
33710.5
Blue1
10260.2
30251.2
8041.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12046851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.70.3
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
804
#12
1.30.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.50.2
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3025
#25
1.20.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3371
#16
0.50.3
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1026
#29
0.20.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End